Good srategy is analyze the composition of the team, who wil play, who will not, who have trauma, who have a bad form and etc.
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2014/12/23
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Hello all, maybe someone use "Kelly criterion" betting strategy? Is it worth to try?
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2014/12/23
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308
guess Wrote:
hello all, maybe someone use "Kelly criterion" betting strategy? Is it worth to try?
Hey guess, what is this strategy? First time I hear about it
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2015/01/31
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156
Hi idlepick, In probability theory and intertemporal portfolio choice, the Kelly criterion, Kelly strategy, Kelly formula, or Kelly bet, is a formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets. In most gambling scenarios, and some investing scenarios under some simplifying assumptions, the Kelly strategy will do better than any essentially different strategy in the long run. For more info try to use Wikipedia.
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2015/01/05
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347
idlepick Wrote:
hello all, maybe someone use "Kelly criterion" betting strategy? Is it worth to try?
Hey guess, what is this strategy? First time I hear about it
Hi idlepick, I will try to explain:
The Kelly Criterion formula is: (bp-q)/b
B = the Decimal odds -1
P = the probability of success
Q = the probability of failure (i.e. 1-p)
Using a coin as an example of Kelly Criterion staking
For example, consider you are betting on a coin to land on heads at 2.00. However, the coin is biased and has a 52% chance of ending up on heads.
In this case:
P= 0.52
Q = 1-0.52 = 0.48
B = 2-1 = 1.
This works out at: (0.52x1 – 0.48) / 1 = 0.04
Therefore the Kelly Criterion would recommend you bet 4% - a positive percentage implies an edge in your favour - of your bankroll so your funds grow exponentially.
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2014/12/23
Messages:
308
guess Wrote:
Hi idlepick, I will try to explain:
The Kelly Criterion formula is: (bp-q)/b
B = the Decimal odds -1
P = the probability of success
Q = the probability of failure (i.e. 1-p)
Using a coin as an example of Kelly Criterion staking
For example, consider you are betting on a coin to land on heads at 2.00. However, the coin is biased and has a 52% chance of ending up on heads.
In this case:
P= 0.52
Q = 1-0.52 = 0.48
B = 2-1 = 1.
This works out at: (0.52x1 – 0.48) / 1 = 0.04
Therefore the Kelly Criterion would recommend you bet 4% - a positive percentage implies an edge in your favour - of your bankroll so your funds grow exponentially.
Thanks for the explanation, it's looks good, I will try it!
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2015/01/31
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156
I don't use any strategy, I just place on that bet which I think is very reliable.
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2008/01/22
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177
Hi there !
Here is my comprehensive list of some of the most beneficial tips and strategies you might want to follow to improve the outcome of your bets. Remember that all the strategies are not the same and will not match with all tools 😉 You will have to organise your approach to betting in order to win CONSECUTIVELY 😁
- Money Management
- Betting Contrary to the Public
- Reverse Line Movement
- Major Line Movements
- Shading Sports Betting
- Acquiring the Best Line
- The Significance of Any Units Won
- Put In The Time
- Steer Clear of Buying Points
- Timing is Key
If you want to know more details about those techniques I recommend you to check this betting strategy article
😁
Here is my comprehensive list of some of the most beneficial tips and strategies you might want to follow to improve the outcome of your bets. Remember that all the strategies are not the same and will not match with all tools 😉 You will have to organise your approach to betting in order to win CONSECUTIVELY 😁
- Money Management
- Betting Contrary to the Public
- Reverse Line Movement
- Major Line Movements
- Shading Sports Betting
- Acquiring the Best Line
- The Significance of Any Units Won
- Put In The Time
- Steer Clear of Buying Points
- Timing is Key
If you want to know more details about those techniques I recommend you to check this betting strategy article
😁
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2017/04/26
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1
If we talk just about bet, i always choose home young player, to win a set or a match versus older player - but not always there are some thing. - Young player must be talented, motivated - depends on Qualification or WC, old player must be not motivated, maybe injured not long ago.. so little thing, you must know to bet on young player with good odds
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2017/06/18
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78
I don't have much experience in betting, so thanks for sharing, guys!
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2017/10/30
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Very interesting thread and I can only say that it is really many types of betting
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2017/12/04
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