La Liga 2018-19 – Sevilla vs Real Madrid Betting Preview
We’ve got some midweek action in La Liga and this is the headline match for matchday 6! Sevilla host Real Madrid. Sevilla have hit some amazing form in the past week scoring 11 goals in 2 games while Real Madrid have been continuing their fantastic start to the season themselves! This shapes up to be a very entertaining game and there is a high chance that Real Madrid could taste their first defeat of the season, whether Sevilla can pull it off we’ll have to wait and find out.
Key Facts
Sevilla are yet to win a home league game this season.
Sevilla have already had two different hattrick heroes in La Liga this season. Andre Silva in the first week and Ben Yedder most recently against Levante.
Sevilla have hit some fantastic form scoring 11 goals in their last 2 games. 5-1 win over Standard Liege in UEL and 2-6 win away to Levante in the league.
Sevilla have beaten Real Madrid at home in 3 previous league matches.
There’s only 4 La Liga teams with double figure goals scored. Real Madrid and Sevilla are two of those teams.
There have been 46 goals scored in the previous 10 match ups between Sevilla and Real Madrid in all competitions. 4.6 goals per game! 7 of those matches had an over 3.5 goals mark hit and 7 of those had BTTS.
Real Madrid are yet to lose a game this season. 4W 1D in the league and won their only UCL match.
Benzema is Madrid’s top scorer with 4 but he hasn’t scored in 3 straight. Bale is the most dangerous Madrid player with 4G 2A.
Last season Sevilla won 3-2 against Madrid at home and lost 5-0 at the Bernabeu.
Sevilla have scored 15 goals in total in all comps this season, Madrid have scored 15 too. Both played 6 games excluding European qualifiers.
Team News
Sevilla: Mercado, Gonalons, Escudero and Amadou are Sevilla’s absentees for this match. Elsewhere expect the squad to stay similar to the one against Levante given their performance there definitely is no reason to change it up. Andre Silva and Ben Yedder have both scored hattricks this season already and are expected to partner up top. These two should cause Real Madrid a ton of problems with the likes of Banega, Sarabia, Navas creating chances. Expect Sevilla to have an attacking mindset coming into this match, they’ve had a ton of success against Madrid at home especially when it comes to scoring goals so no reason to not attack.
Real Madrid: Isco had a surgery and will be out for a one month plus therefore he’s out for this match so in his place expect Asensio to start while Bale should return to the starting line-up after being rested against Espanyol. Lopetegui did rest a lot of 1st teamers against Espanyol, the likes of Kroos, Marcelo, Carvajal were all either on the bench of didn’t feature at all due to injury or rest. Carvajal is expected to be out for the Sevilla clash due to injury so Nacho will probably slot in at RB while Marcelo returns to start at LB. Kroos should slot in for Ceballos. Benzema is likely to start over Diaz but his starting place could soon to be under threat if Diaz puts in some good performances.
Betting Tips and Predictions
Well, what recent meetings and current form tells us we should be expecting a goal fest. Over 3.5 goals at 2.10 is a must pick up, but we’d like to go one further and go for over 4.5 at 3.55. There’s been 4.6 goals scored in the previous 10 meetings and if you go further back to 20 matches there ratio still stays at 4.5/4.6 which is simply crazy. Backing an over is a must in this match, simple as. We won’t back Real Madrid to win because Sevilla normally turn up for these matches at home, forget their current home form because it’s only been two games. They normally are very tough at home and you simply shouldn’t bet against them when they are in front of their fans. Plus recent results say that Sevilla won 3 straight home matches against Madrid in the league and they’re priced to win at 4.10 here which does hold good value or you could go for Sevilla 1X at 2.05 to be more safe. We’re looking at a high scoring 2-2/3-2/3-3 game. All overs are worth the risk starting from 3.5.
Match Odds (TonyBet)
Sevilla Win – 4.00
Draw – 4.10
Real Madrid Win – 1.87
KICK OFF – 26th September 2018 – 9pm UK Time
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