AC Milan take on Lazio in a huge clash between two sides currently battling for top 4.
Currently looking at the table, the teams are separated by not a lot. 4th placed Milan are 3 points ahead of 7th placed Lazio, however Lazio have a game in hand and in this tight race between multiple teams, every game is now a must win for either side.
AC Milan are entering this game on some dreadful run of form. After playing great early in the year, Milan have only picked up 1 point from their last 12 available (0W 1D 3L), but despite that they still are 4th and if they were to get hot they could absolutely reach their goal of finishing in the top 4.
Lazio are coming into this match on a back of a poor back to back results themselves. Just when it seemed like Lazio got it together, they went and lost 1-0 to Spal and then only managed a 2-2 draw with Sassuolo. Really unnecessary 5 points that they dropped there and could prove costly. However as it applies to Milan, Lazio can still get it together and get on a hot streak and reach their aspirations of a top 4 finish.
AC Milan have been a solid home team, in fact 3rd best in Serie A (9W 4D 3L). Although Milan have failed to win each of their last 2 home games losing 2-3 to Inter and drawing 1-1 with Udinese, you still have to consider them as one of the better home teams in the league considering they have won 5 of 6 prior to these 2 games and do have the 3rd best home record in the league though Milan dropped most of their home points in big games losing to Inter, Juventus, only managing draws with Atalanta and Napoli with the only win coming against Roma. So overall Milan are a good home team, but they have a tendency to drop points in big games as they dropped 10 of the total 17 dropped pts against the top 7 at home this season.
Lazio haven’t been a very good away side this season as they’ve racked up as many losses as wins on their travels with 6 wins and 6 losses (3D). Lazio have not been in good form on their travels either having lost 3 of last 5 away games (1W 1D) in all competitions, but they did have one big win not so long ago at San Siro against the other Milan club in Inter, but other than that they lost every other big away game (Juventus, Roma, Atalanta, Napoli) so that record doesn’t cope well with them entering this weekend.
Krzysztof Piatek is the man to watch of course for Milan. Since signing with the club he’s already scored 10 goals in 13 apps in all competitions and despite Milan dipping in form, he’s been playing well himself scoring in each of his last 2 apps.
Lazio’s man to watch is also a striker in Ciro Immobile. He’s playing decent football this season, yet again clubs top scorer with 18 goals (14 in the league) and has scored in 3 of last 5 apps in Serie A, plus he’s coming off a good performance against Sassuolo where he scored and assisted in a 2-2 draw.
The H2H this season has been evenly matched. Both games ended with a draw and both were playing at Lazio’s home. The league meeting ended 1-1 and they also met in the cup Semi Final where the 1st leg ended 0-0. This weekend will be the first time these sides meet in San Siro this season. San Siro has been a place where Lazio just very rarely have success against AC Milan. During this decade, Lazio only beat Milan in San Siro once in 2015 and ever since that meeting, the next 4 ended with 2 Milan wins and 2 draws. In this decade Lazio have a 1W 6D 5L record at San Siro against AC Milan so they haven’t been losing consistently, but the lone win doesn’t do them well, we have witnessed a lot of draws between these whether it’s at San Siro or not.
Bookies have this match very evenly matched. Milan are very slim favourites at 2.63 whereas Lazio to win is 2.70 so the odds are basically the same. Draw is offered at 3.30. odds are based on Unibet.
Team News
AC Milan: Lucas Pacqueta and keeper Gianluigi Donnarumma and Andre Conti are all doubts to play.
Lazio: Milan Badelj is suspended and will be out for this match while Jordan Lukaku is out with an injury.
Betting Stats
AC Milan have covered 56.2% of their total goal overs at home in the league this season (9-1-6).
AC Milan have covered 25% of their total 1st half goal overs at home in the league this season (4-6-6). Much better 2nd half goals wise.
AC Milan average 2.13 bookings per game at home in the league this season (34 bookings in 16 games).
Krzysztof Piatek, Patrick Cutrone and Frank Kessie are Milan’s tied top scorers at home with 3 goals at San Siro each in the league. Piatek does have 10 overall home goals in the league this season but 7 came with Genoa.
AC Milan have covered 37.5% of their Handicaps at home in the league this season (6-2-8).
AC Milan have covered 43.8% of their 1st half Handicaps at home in the league this season (7-1-8).
Lazio have covered the leagues worst 26.7% of their total goal overs away from home this season (4-11).
Lazio have covered 13.3% of their total 1st half goal overs in the league this season (2-8-5). Tied worst in the Serie A.
Lazio average 2.87 bookings per game away from home in the league this season (43 bookings in 15 games).
Ciro Immobile is Lazio’s top scorer away from home with 5 away goals in the Serie A this season.
Lazio have only covered 33.3% of their Handicaps away from home in the league this season (5-2-8). 3rd worst in the league.
Lazio have covered 33.3% of their 1st half Handicaps away from home in the league this season (5-10).
KICK OFF – 13th April 2019 – 7:30pm UK Time
.jpg?v=1.014689161)
.png?v=1.014689161)
