AS Roma host Real Madrid in a game between two clubs who are in great position in the group and could even both advance to the next round come end of the night. Despite the domestic struggles this season for both clubs, these clubs have played well in Europe and are currently tied with 9 pts for 1st place and have a 5 pt edge over 3rd placed CSKA Moscow meaning that CSKA failing to win would be enough for both clubs to advance however the 1st place is also still in play and with Real winning the first fixture 3-0, Roma will seek to bounce back and get a win of their own and same can be said for Madrid who need to restore pride after being destroyed by Eibar at the weekend 3-0.
Key Facts
In their 2 Champions League home games, Roma have won both, scored 8 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. Dominant.
Since the start of last session, Roma are unbeaten at home in the Champions League winning 7 of their 8 games and drawing the other. Roma scored 20 goals in these games and beat the likes of Chelsea, Barcelona and Liverpool.
Roma’s, Edin Dzeko has been on fire in the Champions League with 5 goals in 4 games which is tied for top scorers with Messi.
Despite their UCL success, Roma have been a little out of form recently in all competitions winning just 3 of their last 7 games. 2D 2L. They’ve also not kept a clean sheet in 5 straight.
Roma have scored 19 goals in their last 6 games at home in all competitions. 5W 1D.
All 4 Roma’s games in the Champions League had over 2.5 goals. In general on average there are 3 goals scored in Roma’s games this season in all competitions.
Real Madrid have only won 3 of their last 9 away games in all competitions. 1D 5L. Woeful
Real Madrid lost by 3+ goals 3 times this season already. All within the last 2 months.
Real Madrid have conceded 21 goals in 18 games in all competitions this season. Leaky.
All of Real Madrid’s last 8 games had over 2.5 goals in all competitions.
Karin Benzema has scored 4 goals in 5 apps under Solari
Despite their loss to Eibar, Real Madrid have actually been in decent form winning their prior 4 games scoring 15 goals.
Real Madrid have beaten Roma 3 straight times shutting them out in each game. (0-2 2-0 3-0).
Team News
AS Roma: Roma are coming into this game without De Rossi, Pastore and Perrotti who are both officially out with injuries, also CB Kostas Manolas has been listed as questionable and could miss out this clash. Also, Lorenzo Pellegrini and goalkeeper Robin Olsen picked up knocks in the previous game and will have to be monitored. Dzeko, Florenzi and Under are all expected to start after being put on the bench the previous game in the league for what was probably rest purposes to focus on this game against Madrid.
Real Madrid: Madrid will still be without Casemiro and Nacho, however Carvajal has returned during the weekend and may make his first start in some time, if not the Odrioziola is likely to start at RB. Expect Ceballos to slot alongside Modric and Kroos in midfield in place of Casemiro. Elsewhere, Isco will be looking to regain his starting spot either over Asensio or Bale and the rest of the lineup will likely stay the same as against Eibar.
Betting Tips and Predictions
This looks like a very entertaining game that promises us goals. Roma at home are extremely entertaining, Real have been suspect defensively but going forward they’ve been rejuvenated under Solari so for sure we can expect some goals here. Roma have been really good at home and there is value to back them in this match looking at the odds because we’ve seen in the past 12 months with clubs like Chelsea Liverpool Barcelona come here and lose and lose big (3-0 3-0 4-2). Plus eventually Roma gotta get one over Madrid and there’s no better time to do so than here. Roma 0.0 handicap at 2.48 (money back in case they draw) and over 3 goals at 1.84 are our top picks for this clash. Dzeko to score anytime at 2.60 is also a decent bet given his form in the Champions League these past 2 seasons.
Match Odds (Unibet)
AS Roma Win – 3.40
Draw – 3.70
Real Madrid Win – 2.17
KICK OFF – 27th November 2018 – 8pm UK Time
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