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Serena Williams - Angelique Kerber (WTA Wimbledon final)

A Wimbledon women’s final finally here and no surprise we have here Serena Williams like we want it and maybe a little surprise, but still very good second finalist Angelique Kerber who play’s best season in career. Both player’s had good way to final, Serena lost only one set to other American player, she played till the end and managed to take a set, but in the end Serena still won. Kerber road to final was without loosing a set that show’s us how she is superb ready for this championship, but not the final results after match shows us how for real player is ready, there are some small things that we need to talk about. 

Statistics and game play – What we can see in statistics from Wimbledon ? Let’s start at serving stats. Angelique – Like we talk about it last time, now  she have a good percentage on first serve in, its about 70% and she managed to even win more than 70% points on first serve versus Venus Williams, before that she only won about 60-65%. That looks good, but its not quite true, Kerber serve’s well on first serve, but serve itself not always works, especially versus player’s who play aggressive on return – And we have today aggressive player Serena Williams, she play’s very aggressive on return, especially on grass courts. Kerber second service today will decide how match will go, we saw versus Venus Williams Kerber won only 27% of second serve, its tragically bad, that’s why she made 4 Double faults, she cant give a weak ball in to play, that’s same like DF. At the end she managed to make her serve work, and Venus lost, but that match was one of the worst for Venus, she didn’t play at all. – bad decisions. 

Serena – She have great service game at Wimbledon, look at her last game versus Elena Vesnina, yes Vesnina played first time in such conditions and stage of grand slam, but still Serena showed a magical play, the serve worked perfect. 77% First serve in, 96% points won on first serve. Serve is big thing playing on grass court, especially playing versus Sisters Williams, look at Vesnina serve she serve well, fast and strong like Serena if we talking about speed, but that still didn’t help, and that because of good Serena return.   
Let’s talk about return – without it you can make a good lead in match, you either break players serve or go to TB and play lottery ticket, so its very important today. Williams have great returns, one of the greatest returns on grass, if even Vesnina with big serve couldn’t win game’s, so what we can say about Kerber’s serve? It’s going to hard. But Kerber itself have a good return, but there is a thing, Serena has a great serve so return must be very good, it needs to work 100% at all Serena serves.  Serve speed : First Serve Serena 108 MPH (Fastest 130) second serve : 90MPH, still works perfect. 

Kerber : First serve : 94 (Fastest 101) Second : 80 MPH. 

Playing in court at long rallies or shorter rallies is very important to on today’s final. Kerber defence and play on backcourt is really wonderful this year, she move’s good in court, we saw it versus Venus, those wonderful winners from back court or in long rallies when she managed to make impossible winners.  Definitely Serena is not Venus, she still have a good movement, power and love to play and win and never give up. – Venus made a lot of forehand errors, legs didn’t move like it should and that’s a thing Serena doesn’t have this kind of problems. Kerber needs to lead a rallies to win points, Serena won’t let that happen today she will dictate how to play that’s for sure. 

Mentality – We know Serena after last year had problems with finals, she couldn’t win, something went wrong all the time, but she was still happy with second place? That’s very important, but look at Kerber she is getting nervous, it’s a final versus Williams and she always making bad decisions in the end, she a lot of time can’t serve for the match, losing her serve. – We remember what happened with Maria Sharapova, she won versus Serena and later she couldn’t win versus her anymore.. 


In the end – Today we have good match, but there are big deciders how match will go – Kerber second serve is the key for win or for easy lost match. If Kerber will serve great on second serve match can be hard for Serena, if Kerber will serve weak, its can be easy game for Serena. Both players mind must be clear to achieve something today, if Serena will think to much about record and this final she definitely will have problems, same goes for Kerber.  

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