Preview Panama - Mexico Betting

Panama

Panama luckily managed to get to this semi-final, after finishing Group A with 3 points after 3 consecutive draws. The quarter-final against Trinidad and Tobago was another draw in regular time, but the team managed to win 7-6 on penalties and will now face Mexico.
Overall performance rating 57% recording 5 draws in the last 7 games. Against this opponent, the team holds a record of W2-D3-L4, winning 2, losing 2 and drawing 1 in the last 5 games. In 2013’s edition of the Gold Cup, Panama faced Mexico twice, once in the groups and once in the knockout stage, winning both games with 2-1.
The team is priced as an outsider for this match with odds by bet365 @ 6.50. Having scored 1 goal each game and conceded as much shows that Panama, has a hard time scoring and keeping their net clean. Mexico is perhaps of the same magnitude as United States, so Panama does have its chances to perhaps record yet another draw.
The draw in regular time is priced @ 3.40.

 Mexico

A lot has been said about Mexico, before and during this tournament. The team participated in the Copa America 2015, where it recorded 2 draws and a loss and didn’t manage to pass the groups.
In the CONCACAF Gold Cup, Mexico was appointed as a favorite for Group C, but again the team disappointed with 2 draws and a win finishing 2nd after Trinidad and Tobago. Now the team is facing another familiar opponent, whom they have beaten twice in the last 2 years.
Overall performance rating 57% with 4 draws and 2 victories in the last 7 games. While Mexico are appointed as a favourite for this game with odds to win by bet365 @ 1.61, we believe this is far from the truth. Obviously the team isn’t in optimal shape and struggled in most games including the quarter-final against Costa Rica, a match that ended 0-0 in regular time and 1-0 in overtime.

Verdict

The high number of draw games in both team’s records and the stakes of this semi-final, make us believe that this match has high probability to end a draw in regular time. The draw is priced @ 3.40 by bet365.
Looking at the scores that both teams have recorded in this tournament, it’s safe to go with Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57.