Coppa Italia: Lazio vs AC Milan Betting Preview

The Coppa Italia Semi Final 1^st leg is here and after a quarter finals where all 4 tie underdogs won, we’re in for an intriguing Semis that begins with a match up between Lazio and red hot AC Milan!

The teams are currently riding a completely different run of form. While Lazio are struggling right now, AC Milan have been on red hot, best form of the season so far scoring goals for fun and winning games which has really righted the ship for their season.

Lazio are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak having lost both ties to Sevilla in Europe and also losing to Genoa in the league during this stretch while only managing to score 1 goal so it’s safe to say right now nothing has been clicking for Lazio lately.

AC Milan meanwhile are unbeaten in 7 consecutive games and have won each of their last 3 games scoring 3 goals in each of them in their recent form, the signing of Krzsystof Piatek has really benefited the club due to his incredible run of form every since hitting the ground running at the new club.

In Coppa Italia, Lazio have entered in the 4^th round and have played two games, they defeated Novara 4-1 then eliminated Inter Milan away from home on penalties to secure a place in the Semis.

AC Milan have had a very tough Coppa Italia road, also entering in the 4^th round they faced two Serie A sides firstly defeating Sampdoria 0-2 after ET and then defeating the 2^nd best team in the country in Napoli 2-0. Milan have really established as one of the top favourites left in the competition.

The key players to watch for this match up are definitely the strikers from both clubs. Ciro Immobile for Lazio and Krzystof Piatek for Milan. Immobile has recently returned from injury and hasn’t done much, but he is the clubs top scorer with 15 goals this season and 3 in 2 Coppa apps while Piatek has bagged 7 goals in 6 apps for Milan and has scored in each of his 5 starts for the club, with Milan and Genoa combined he has 8 goals in 3 Cup apps including a brace for Milan against Napoli which is an insane record.

These teams once met this season and that was a 1-1 draw in this exact fixture as Lazio was the home team. Milan took a late lead but Lazio equalised right at the death to deny Milan the win then.

Milan and Lazio met in this exact round of the Coppa Italia last year and over 2 legs no goals were scored and it went to penalties which Milan ended up winning.

AC Milan haven’t had much success as visitors against Lazio winning just once in their last 10 travels here, Lazio have only won 4 thus making draw the most common result as this exact fixture ended with 5 draws in last 10 meetings.

Lazio are tipped favourites to win this 1^st leg match despite their lack of form. Lazio to win is 2.38, Milan are offered at 3.10 while Draw is 3.25. Milan are however slight favourites to advance over 2 legs tipped at 1.80 while Lazio is offered at 1.95 to make the Final over 2 legs. Odds are based on Unibet.

 

Team News

Lazio: Luis Felipe, Bastos, Wallace and Jordan Lukaku are all out leaving Lazio short at the back.

AC Milan: Zapata and Bonaventura are both out while Caldara is nearing a return but is also unlikely to feature in this match.

 

Betting Stats

*Stats based off Serie A to make this as accurate as possible

Lazio have covered 58.3% of their total goal overs at home (7-5).

Lazio have covered 41.7% of their 1^st half goal overs at home (5-2-5).

Ciro Immobile is Lazio’s top scorer at home with 7 home goals in Serie A. He’s also got 2 in their lone Coppa Italia home game.

Lazio average 2.17 bookings per game at home (26 bookings in 12 games).

Lazio have only covered 33.3% of their Handicaps at home (4-8).

Lazio have covered 50% of their 1^st half Handicaps at home (6-2-4).

AC Milan have the worst covered total goal overs percentage away from home in the Serie A at 25% (3-9).

AC Milan have the worst percentage at covering 1^st half total goal overs away from home at 8.3% (1-5-6).

AC Milan average 2.58 bookings per game away from home in the league (31 bookings in 12 games).                                                                                                       

Suso and Piatek are Milan’s tied top scorers away from home with 3 away goals each for the club, despite Piatek only joining the club he’s already tied for the most away goals for the club.

AC Milan have covered 50% of their Handicaps away from home (6-1-5).

AC Milan have covered 41.7% of their 1^st half Handicaps away from home (5-2-5).

KICK OFF – 26^th February 2019 – 8pm UK Time