Atalanta host Fiorentina in the Coppa Italia Semi Final 2nd leg for a place in the Final to face Lazio.
The first leg resulted with a very entertaining 3-3 draw which definitely gives Atalanta an advantage considering they didn’t lose and got 3 away goals. Fiorentina will likely need to win here to advance.
Entering this game both sides have had a big contrast in form. Whereas Atalanta have gone unbeaten in their last 9 (5W 4D) and are coming off a very impressive away win at Napoli 1-2 on Monday, Fiorentina have not won any of their last 10 games although they have drawn 6 of them it still has been a bad run of form and they’re coming off a 2-1 defeat to Juventus after surrendering a lead in their last game. Clearly on current form Atalanta have a confidence edge entering this game.
Atalanta strangely have been slightly worse at home this season than they’ve been on their travels and in 2019 and if you look at the Serie A table you’d see that as they have picked up 26 pts at home and 30 away. Atalanta have won just 4 of 8 games in front of their fans though they only tasted 1 defeat here. Atalanta have drawn their most recent home game with Empoli 0-0.
Fiorentina haven’t been a very good away side this season only managing 4 away wins all together this season across all competitions and recently they’ve especially been poor losing 3 of last 4 away games drawing the other and conceding 2+ goals in each of those games totalling 9 goals allowed in their last 4 travels which is a worrying record for the visitors considering Atalanta are so powerful going forward.
Duvan Zapata is the man to watch for Atalanta. Now 26 goals total this season by their star man and he has 3 in 3 apps in Coppa Italia. Zapata is also on very good form right now having scored 4 in his last 4 games including bagging a goal against Napoli in the most recent fixture.
Federico Chiesa is the man to watch for Fiorentina. He has been their best goal contributor across all competitions and especially has been on fire in Coppa Italia having scored 6 goals in 3 apps in the cup (hattrick vs Roma, brace vs Torino, 1 goal vs Atalanta).
Fiorentina and Atalanta have faced each other 3 times this season and they’ve been able to split results. Fiorentina won their home game in the league 2-0 while Atalanta won their home game 3-1 just over a month ago while the cup game of course ended 3-3 in the first leg. Further looking at H2H, Atalanta have only won one of last 7 at home against Fiorentina (2D 4L), however they haven’t lost to them 3 straight times and won the most recent home match as mentioned already 3-1 against these opponents.
Atalanta are tipped as favourites to win this game by the bookies at 1.72 whereas Fiorentina to win is 4.60 with Draw offered at 3.90. Atalanta are huge favourites to advance at 1.22 with Fiorentina to advance offered as a long shot at 4.00. Considering Atalanta scored 3 away goals and didn’t lose they are definitely in a great position and more than likely a Fiorentina Win is the only way Fiorentina advance here which looks like a daunting task for the visitors considering they have been o horrible winless run and Atalanta haven’t lost in a long time themselves. The odds are based on Unibet.
Team News
Atalanta: It’s a near full strength side for the hosts with the exceptions of Rafael Toloi who continues to be out and Hans Hateboer who is suspended. Otherwise everyone else are available for Atalanta.
Fiorentina: The visitors will be missing their goalkeeper Pietro Terracciano other than that they should have everyone else available.
Betting Stats
*These stats will be based off Serie A since both sides play in that league.
Atalanta have covered 62.5% of their total goal overs at home (10-6).
Atalanta have covered 31.2% of their total 1st half goal overs at home (5-4-7). Tendency of more goals in 2nd halves in their home games.
Atalanta average 1.63 bookings per game at home this season (26 bookings in 16 games).
Duvan Zapata is Atalanta’s top scorer at home with 7 home goals this season.
Atalanta have covered 43.8% of their Handicaps at home this season (7-1-8).
Atalanta have covered 37.5% of their 1st half Handicaps at home this season (6-10).
Fiorentina have covered 47.1% of their total goal overs away from home this season (8-9).
Fiorentina have covered 35.3% of their 1st half total goal overs away from home this season (6-3-8).
Fiorentina average 2.76 bookings per game away from home this season (47 bookings in 17 games).
Federico Chiesa and Marco Benassi are Fiorentina’s tied top scorers away from home with 4 away goals each this season.
Fiorentina have covered just 23.5% of their Handicaps away from home this season (4-8-5), though most of them have been Voided (8/17).
Fiorentina have covered 35.3% of their 1st Half Handicaps this season away from home (6-5-6).
KICK OFF – 25th April 2019 – 7:45pm UK Time
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