The Euroleague playoffs continue as we have the first couple of Game 3s as Zalgiris host Fenerbache and Panathinaikos host Real Madrid! Here’s some betting stats for the two games.
Zalgiris Kaunas vs Fenerbache
The 8th seeded Zalgiris continue to pull of surprises as they have stole Game 2 in Istanbul to inflict Fenerbache their first defeat of the season at home to tie the series at 1-1 and take home court advantage. This will be a pivotal Game 3 in Kaunas as Zalgiris will seek to pull off another surprise win against the 1st seeded Fenerbache.
Totals
Zalgiris have covered 66.7% of their total point overs at home this season in the Euroleague which is tied best in the competition (10-1-4) and they’ve been on a hot streak of Overs in Kaunas as they have had one in 4 consecutive games entering this one. The total for this game is 148.5 points which will be the lowest pre-game total Zalgiris have had at home all season with the previous lowest and closest to that being against Panathinaikos when the total was 151 points and that resulted with a Void as the teams totalled exactly 151 points in a 82-69 Zalgiris win.
Fenerbache have covered 46.7% of their total point overs on the road in the Euroleague this season (7-8), but have recently had more overs with 4 of their last 5 road games resulting with an Over after starting 3-7 in O/U. The 148.5 point total is also their lowest total, in fact by quite a few points on the road this season that will be in this game and the closest that they’ve had to a 148.5 point total was a 153.5 point total against Darussafaka which resulted with an Over as Fenerbache won 75-97.
Handicaps
Zalgiris have covered 53.3% of their Handicaps at home this season (8-7) and have especially been on a hot streak in their last 10 covering 8 of them after starting 0-5 at home in covering Handicaps. Zalgiris are 4.5 point underdogs in this game and they’ve not had a +4.5 home Handicap this season, however they have had a very close +4 Handicap once against Real Madrid which they failed to cover in a 79-90 loss. Zalgiris are 1-2 at covering Handicaps as home underdogs so far this season.
Fenerbahce have covered Euroleague’s best 66.7% of their Handicaps on the road this season (10-5). Fenerbache haven’t had a -4.5 Handicap on the road this season, however they did have a -4 Handicap twice against Efes and Bayern and they failed to cover both of them ironically losing 89-83 to Efes and also losing 90-86 to Bayern.
Recent H2H in Kaunas
Fenerbache have had great success in Kaunas recently winning in each of their 3 visits against Zalgiris.
The most recent was early this season and Fenerbache came out on top 75-82. In that game Fenerbache covered a -3.5 Handicap while pre-game total 156.5 points resulted with an Over by exactly a point as the teams totalled 157 points.
Betting Stats in this series so far
G1 – Fenerbache 76-43 Zalgiris – Fenerbache covers -8.5 Handicap, Total 148.5 pts – Under
G2 – Fenerbache 80-82 Zalgiris – Zalgiris covers +11.5 Handicap, Total 146.5 pts – Over
Injury Report
Zalgiris Kaunas: Laurynas Birutis is the only player out for the hosts. He’s been out for weeks and Zalgiris have not missed him so it’s not a big loss.
Fenerbache: Tyler Ennis and Joffrey Lauvergne continue to be out for the visitors.
TIP OFF – 23rd April 2019 – 6pm UK Time
Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid
Real Madrid will seek to complete the sweep and be the first team to head to the Final Four this season as they travel to Athens to face Panathinaikos for who every game is now do or die as they trail 2-0 to the defending champions.
Totals
Panathinaikos have covered 53.3% of their total point overs at home this season (8-7), however they’ve been on a streak of an Under as each of their last 3 home games have had an Under. The total for this game is 158.5 points which is a total that Panathinaikos haven’t had at home this season, however they did have a very close 158 point total once against Bayern and it resulted with an Under in a 77-67 win for Panathinaikos. They also had a 159 point total against Darussafaka also resulting with an Under in a 75-67 win.
Real Madrid have covered just 33.3% of their total point overs on the road in the Euroleague this season which is 2nd worst percentage in the competition (5-10) and ever since starting the season with 3 overs from 4 opening road games, only 2 of their next 12 have had an Over. The 158.5 point total will be their lowest pre-game total they’ve had all season with the previous closest and lowest being 160 points against Darussafaka which actually ended with a rare Over as Madrid won that game 82-86.
Handicaps
Panathinaikos have covered 53.3% of their Handicaps at home in the Euroleague this season (8-7). Panathinaikos are given a -3 Handicap in this game and they’ve not had a -3 Handicap at home this season, however the closest that they’ve had to that was a -3.5 Handicap which was also against Real Madrid in the Regular Season and they failed to cover that was they lost the game 73-74.
Real Madrid also covered 53.3% of their Handicaps on the road this season (8-7). They did have a +3 Handicap once on the road this season and they covered it against Fenerbache despite a 65-63 defeat.
Recent H2H in Piraeus
Panathinaikos have had a good amount of success against Real Madrid over the years, however Real Madrid have won in each of their last 2 visits here most recently being earlier this season when they beat Panathinaikos 73-74.
In that meeting this season Real Madrid covered a +3.5 Handicap while total 165 points ended with an Under as the teams totalled just 147 points.
Betting Stats in this series so far
G1 – Real Madrid 75-72 Panathinaikos – Panathinaikos covers +7 Handicap, Total 162 points – Under
G2 – Real Madrid 78-63 Panathinaikos – Real Madrid covers -6 Handicap, Total 160 points – Under
Injury Report
Panathinaikos: Nikos Pappas is the only player out for the hosts
Real Madrid: Sergio Llull continues to be out for the visitors. He’s not played in this series so far. Everyone else is available.
TIP OFF – 23rd April 2019 – 7pm UK Time
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