This Tuesday night we have a crucial group game between Napoli and PSG. With Napoli in second place and a point above PSG who are surprisingly third in the group as they’ve struggled in Europe this season despite their historical domestic league start this is at least a must NOT LOSE game for both sides. In the first match Di Maria’s late goal snatched a point for PSG as it finished 2-2 after Napoli surprisingly went toe to toe with the european giants and nearly beat them and now that has put Napoli in the driving seat in terms of places for next round. Is it really possible for the mighty PSG to be in position of being knocked out from the group stages or will their stars turn up and pick up a win they need? Napoli already beat Liverpool at home so this will be a huge test for PSG.
Key Facts
Napoli are unbeaten in 12 straight home games in all competitions dating back to last season. 10W 2D.
Insigne and Mertens have scored a combined 17 goals this season. Insigne with 9, Mertens with 8. They both scored in Paris in a 2-2 draw. Deadly duo
Mertens has scored at least one goal in his last 4 apps for Napoli. He bagged 6 goals in total in that stretch.
On average there are 2.9 goals scored in Napoli’s games this season.
The first game between these clubs had 7 bookings. Feisty
Kylian Mbappe and Neymar have scored an incredible 25 goals combined this season. Mbappe with 13 in 11 apps and Neymar with 12 in 13 apps.
PSG’s last 18 UCL games have had an over 2.5 goals.
On average there are 5.3 goals scored in PSG’s UCL games this season. They’ve scored 10 and conceded 6. Every game had over 3.5 goals
PSG have lost 3 consecutive away games in UCL dating back to last season (Bayern, Real Madrid, Liverpool). Ironically all were big games.
Team News
Napoli: Napoli don’t have many issues apart from the fact that Chiriches and Younes are out but otherwise Ancelotti has a healthy squad to pick from. Against Empoli we saw a rotated side but expect all the main players to feature here including Hamsik, Allan and Callejon from the start. Insigne and Mertens will be players to watch given their amazing form this season.
PSG: Rabiot and Cavani have both been announced as out which is a huge blow for Tuchel and PSG coming into this game. Alves and Kurszawa are both still out. We saw Tuchel use a 3 at the back during the weekends fixture against Lille and could opt to do so again. Kimpembe is expected to get back into the lineup for Kehrer after sitting out for suspension while Draxler will likely fill in for Rabiot. Neymar and Mbappe will make up a front 2 duo and will hope to continue their red hot form.
Betting Tips and Predictions
We wouldn’t advise to back a winner here because this is such a 50/50 game but would say Napoli have the edge here. Napoli have proven that they can go toe to toe with PSG and now back at home they for sure have a great chance with PSG missing Cavani and their struggles in Europe as a whole especially away from home. What we can expect here is goals which is why over 3, even 3.5 goals are good bets as we get good odds. PSG are extremely overish, Napoli themselves are very good going forward, this is a must win game and as we saw in the first game these teams can put on a show. We’re looking at a potential 2-2 draw here, even possibly someone snatching it 3-2. Backing all of Mbappe Neymar Mertens and Insigne to score is worth the look given their amazing form, if least two score you’d make profit.
Match Odds (TonyBet)
Napoli Win – 2.65
Draw – 3.65
PSG Win – 2.65
KICK OFF – 6th November 2018 – 8pm UK Time
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