This weekend we have the German “Der Klassiker” as Dortmund host Bayern in hopes of extending their lead at the top even further! Dortmund are currently the league leading team and they’re 4 points clear of the defending champion Bayern but many still don’t believe that Dortmund can sustain this and win the league. Bayern have not been living up to expectations this season with their up and down form but they MUST show up this weekend and not let Dortmund to run away even further because Bayern could very well be put in early danger of not retaining their title. This is a statement game and both sides will be looking to make one!
Key Facts
Dortmund are currently the only undefeated side in Bundesliga with 7W 3D 0L.
At home this season Dortmund have scored 2+ goals in every game in all competitions. They’ve scored a total of 29 goals in 8 home games (3.6 per game).
Dortmund have dipped in form a little recently after their 7 game win streak winning just 1 of their last 4 games in 90 mins drawing 2 and losing 1 in all competitions.
Dortmund have been a little shaky defensively recently having conceded 2+ goals in 3 of the last 4 games.
Alcacer (7), Rebs (6), Sancho (4) are Dortmund’s top 3 scorers in Bundesliga
Bayern have the best away record in the Bundesliga with 12 pts from 5 games (4W 1D). They’ve been better away from home this season and as a whole in all competitions they’ve won 8 of their 9 away games.
Bayern have beaten Dortmund in 4 of their previous 6 H2H meetings in all competitions.
Robert Lewandowski has scored 12 goals in 15 apps against Dortmund.
Bayern’s 6W 2D 2L start in Bundesliga is their worst in 7 years.
Bayern have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 10 games in all competitions.
On average there have been 4.2 cards shown in the previous 5 H2H meetings between these clubs.
The previous 6 meetings between these clubs had 27 goals (4.5 per game)
Team News
Dortmund: Schmelzer is our for Dortmund while Diallo is a doubt. Piszczek did return into the side against Atletico however, but whether he’ll start his second straight in 4 days after an injury is a question mark but we’ll have to wait and see. Otherwise it’s a healthy Dortmund side and expect all the key stars of the season to play.
Bayern Munich: As for Bayern they’ve been injury riddled recently. Arjen Robben is out after picking up an injury last week, also Tolisso, Thiago and Coman are all out leaving Bayern a little shorthanded. We can expect a similar lineup used as against AEK during midweek apart from James Rodriguez who will hope to be returning into the starting lineup which will depend on how Niko Kovac approaches this game whether it’ll be attack or be cautious.
Betting Tips and Predictions
Dortmund and Bayern normally put on a goal fest and we can expect no different here. Neither side are elite defensively as we’ve seen but going forward as we’ve seen this season Dortmund are red hot and Bayern well haven’t been at their best but still have shown good signs. Over 3.0 goals is expected here. If we were back a winner then Dortmund has a lot more value. We’re not surprised that they’re tipped as underdogs since they are facing Bayern but right now we’d have them as the favourites ourselves simply because Dortmund are playing much better football and have a healthier squad. Anything from Dortmund’s +0.5 handicap to a Dortmund win at 3.15 is worth looking at and backing. Our prediction is a 3-1/3-2 win for the league leaders Dortmund.
Match Odds (TonyBet)
Dortmund Win – 3.15
Draw – 3.75
Bayern Munich Win – 2.10
KICK OFF – 10th November 2018 – 5:30pm UK Time
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