Alex de Minaur - Ugo Humbert

The Demon stands one step away from his third consecutive entry into the Rotterdam final. For Australians, the Demon feels right at home here - in the last two seasons, he only fell in the final to the top monsters: Sinner and Alcaraz. In this tournament, his balance against non-Top 4 opponents is simply astronomical - 16-2 without any doubts.
This week, Demon has effortlessly defeated Fils, Wawrinka, and local Van de Zandschulp - calmly, confidently, without any panic.
Next up is his 8th battle with Humbert. Their history is 5-2 in favor of the Demon, and that says a lot. Yes, Humbert once won against him in Antwerp back in 2020, but their last indoor meeting in the Davis Cup ended in the classic Demon scenario - a tiebreak + a calm finish.
Humbert, of course, doesn't look bad in this tournament - he beat Medvedev and passed his previous opponents, but let's be honest and fair: right now, Demon is on a completely different level, even compared to the current Medvedev. He loves Rotterdam, the court suits him, and in such places the Demon usually doesn't make mistakes.
Yes, the odds are not very high, this is not a gold mine. But the pick looks very solid, confident, and allows us to calmly make a small profit without any heart attacks. Sometimes you don't need miracles - logic is enough.

Open