Unicaja - Tenerife
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Pick: 1st half Over 41.5 Tenerife @-125 8/10 +6.40
Interesting odds. Tenerife is definitely not the underdog in this match-up and I think the maximum odds should be around 1.6, but the poor performance against Rytas might affect the odds. Rytas had a great defense, allowing Huertas to make his average shots, but they shut down Paliukenas, Sargiunas, and Marciulionis with intense physical play, disrupting Peru's game. They were also able to read Tenerife's plays well, but Tenerife's game was too predictable and this allowed Vilnius to play without major setbacks by shutting down their key players. Can Unicaja do the same? I doubt it, as they don't have as many individual threats who can take on defenders and score consistently for 40 minutes. Their performance has been weak this season after losing a couple of key players who were crucial last season. They should have a more experienced team this year, playing together for several years.
P.S. Tenerife's offense is capable of scoring a lot with their fast-paced game, and Unicaja's defense is not exceptional, so I believe there will be more open basketball than in the semi-finals.
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