Fenerbahce - Zalgiris
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- Yes: 50.0%
- No: 0.0%
- No Opinions: 50.0%
- Voted: 2
Pick: +6.5 Zalgiris @-118 8/10
Hello.
Euroleague. Fenerbahce against Zalgiris. We're going with Zalgiris +6.5 points handicap. The 2-0 record in the regular season says a lot. Zalgiris looks better in terms of form and team health. Yes, Fener plays at home and Saras is at the helm, but those are the only advantages for the team. On the local front, Jantunen and Bitim have suffered injuries, and although they are not game-changing players, their absence significantly shortens the bench and they are needed as role players for Saras. Tucker has not looked good against Zalgiris, and the team lacks tall players, so if Melli has a bad day, there's no one else to play. The defenders are serious with Saras, but I believe Masiulis will have something for them (both against Baldwin and Tucker, he can take the risk of shooting three-pointers).
Zalgiris is coming off a good streak. He was second in the MVP selection, and I think he feels a little offended and will want to prove that it was not true. Wright comes after a season in Peru, Butkevicius, Sleva and Tubelis are in great form. Goss also looks very strong against Fener so far in this season - 20 and 13 points. However, the main focus will be to stop Zalgiris, so I think Goss can step up here, plus he has playoff experience.
To win the series, we need to hang on in one of the two away matches, and I still see chances for over in the first match. The most important thing is not even to win, but not to lose by more than 6 points, and the bet is won. And I believe the match will be tough and low-scoring, which is why this handicap seems very safe. Good luck.
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