PHX Suns - SA Spurs
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Pick: -7.5 PHX Suns @160 8/10 +12.80
The Suns' attack heavily depends on the opponent's defense, but I don't think there should be any problems tonight, as Wembley and Castle, which were a large part of the Spurs' defense, are not present. Overall, I believe the Suns will have a secure perimeter like in the first game, where both Castle and Wembley were present. I also have a negative handicap, as I believe the Suns won't have any problems in their attack and if they don't let the lead slip too much, they will cover the handicap. I think an 8-point lead is a fairly decent option, so I will also take the higher over/under line for a player that I really like, despite the risk involved. With the Spurs' defense weakened, there should be a good chance for Dillon Brooks to have a productive match, although he is dependent on 3-pointers, which he has been shooting at a decent percentage this season. However, with so much risk involved, it may limit his playing minutes. But I still think it's worth taking the risk, as the odds are quite good for a 24-point match with 3.1 odds.
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