Phoenix Suns - San Antonio Spurs
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Pick: Over 123.5 Phoenix Suns @2.650 8/10
The attack of the Suns is heavily dependent on the opponent's defense, but I don't think there should be any problems tonight because there is no Wembley or Castle, which made up the majority of the Spurs defense. Overall, I believe that the Suns will again have a solid performance, as they did in the first game where both Castle and Wembley were present. I also have a negative handicap because I believe that the Suns will have no trouble in attack and if they don't let up too much, they will also cover the handicap. I think an 8-point handicap is a decent option, and I will also take a higher over line for a player who I like a lot and tends to take risks against him. With the weakened Spurs defense, I think Dillon Brooks will have another good scoring game, although he is dependent on 3-point shots, which he has been making at a decent percentage this season. But with so much risk taken against him, I think he will make 2-3 of them, which will contribute to the over. However, his aggressive style of play also means he can accumulate silly turnovers, limiting his playing time. So the risk is not small, but I think it's worth taking as the odds are decent - 24 points with 3.1 odds.
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