Houston Rockets - Orlando Magic
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Pick: Over (Sengun 28+pts) @3.850 7/10 +19.95
Although the risk is fundamentally huge, because Orlando's basketball players are able to slow down the pace, offer physicality, but I trust Houston's offense more, which is quite effectively utilized with players like Sengun, who attracts two opposing players, Durant, who can score and many other details that lead me to believe they can disrupt Orlando's offense. Houston has generally played unders in team games this season, so they should be the freshest team overall in my opinion. So this over is not too unrealistic and utopian. What's even worse is that Orlando will struggle with their shots, as they have been lacking quality scoring options up until this point, but I still believe they will try to shoot from outside, as it will be difficult for them to get closer to the basket when Houston has players like Thompson and Sengun, who are tough to defend against. I also think it's worth taking a risk with Sengun's over, even though he doesn't shoot a lot, he is very good at stretching the opposing defense, creating turnovers, fighting for rebounds and repeating situations. Today might be the day when the conditions are perfect for going over, so I will take a significant risk, but as they say, he who doesn't take risks, doesn't drink champagne.
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