Houston Rockets - Orlando Magic
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Pick: Over 238.5 @220 7/10 -7.00
Although the risk is essentially huge, as Orlando players are able to slow down the pace and offer physicality, I trust Houston's offense more, which is effectively utilized with players like Sengun, who attracts two defenders, and Durant, who dominates the paint, among other details that make me believe they can disrupt Orlando's offense. Houston has generally played under games this season, so they should be the freshest team in my opinion. Therefore, this over is not as unrealistic and utopian. What's even more concerning is that Orlando may struggle in their shooting, as they lack quality in the paint until this day, but again, I think they will try to shoot from outside in order to make it harder for Houston, who have Thompson and Sengun, making it difficult for anyone to do much. I also think about betting on Sengun's over, even though he doesn't take a lot of shots, he is very good at stretching the opponent's defense, forcing turnovers, fighting for rebounds and repeating situations, and today could be the day when conditions are favorable for an over, so I will risk quite a bit in total, but who doesn't take risks, doesn't drink champagne.
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