Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ben Shelton
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Pick: Sets Over 2.5 @2.850 8/10 -8.00
Although it's difficult to say in what condition Fokina will be, I think it's worth risking and betting on him to win the first set, because realistically it will depend on the first set whether he will be able to hang on in this match or if it will go to three sets. The match against Fritz was tough, long and exhausting, happening very late, so even though the balance is in Shelton's favor and he is the clear favorite in my mind, the Spaniard has beaten him twice in the past. Although I don't particularly like the Spaniard because he is not very aggressive and doesn't make many efforts for powerful shots, his shots are pretty predictable and not difficult to return. However, he always manages to surprise somehow and I think he could win a set. Overall, Shelton is currently better, in great form, with strong shots and can pull off anything, so Fokina's strength will lie in his ability to maintain the ball on the court and his patience. But I don't think he will have the energy after losing the first set, so it's possible to take a risk with over bets in the first set and exact score bets in my opinion.
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