Metz -- Nantes

As I post this, Metz are 3rd in Ligue 2 with 45 points and Nantes are 12th with 34. Metz have won 4 of their last 6 with 2 away draws while Nantes have lost 4 in 6 with 2 home wins.Nantes have done OK at home this season, picking up 25 points from 14 games but have been awful away from home. After a good start losing just 1 of their first 6 away games this season, they have been on a horrible run, losing 7 in a row, including 2 against teams in the bottom 5. That's a run that's not about to end at Metz who have won 9 of 13 at home, including 7 of their last 9.
Metz home goal ratio is 20-8 while Nante's away is 9-21.
All this makes the odds of 10/11 very surprising and excellent value.
Bet is 10 units on Metz to win.
Best of luck.

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